Independent adjudication tribunal · Est. MMXXVI

A standing tribunal for contested questions

Some questions
need a verdict.

The Judgment Company decides contested real-world questions for prediction markets and platforms — under standards fixed in advance, on admitted evidence, in public, for good.

QUESTIONMATTEREVIDENCEARGUMENTJUDGMENTDOCTRINE

A match ends with a whistle.
A count ends with a certificate.
Most disputes just end with noise.

A market can only settle what someone can finally decide. Where the outcome takes interpretation, settlement breaks — and the argument never closes. The Judgment Company gives those questions a courtroom: a fixed standard, an evidentiary record, a reasoned opinion, and a machine-readable verdict that markets can build on.

The docket

Matters before the Tribunal

Continuously updated · Records public
TJC-2026-121
GeopoliticsDELIBERATION

Did the Straits of Varena remain open to neutral commercial transit throughout the market window?

Transit remained open · vs · Passage was interdicted

Origin
Fairlead Markets
Exposure
$7.4M open interest
27 sources at intake
TJC-2026-114
GeopoliticsJUDGMENT ISSUED

Did the Port of Kestrel Bay reopen to commercial shipping before July 20, 2026?

Port operationally reopened · vs · Closure persisted

Origin
Fairlead Markets
Exposure
$5.6M open interest
YES84% · July 23
TJC-2026-123
CorporateEVIDENCE

Did Novapark Holdings complete the spin-off of Arland Energy before August 31, 2026?

Distribution completed · vs · Conditions unsatisfied

Origin
Hollis Exchange
Exposure
$1.3M open interest
8 sources at intake
TJC-2026-125
ElectionsINTAKE

Did the Katari Federation's electoral council publish certified tallies for all nine provinces before September 5, 2026?

Certification published · vs · Certification incomplete

Origin
Verity Board
Exposure
$1.9M open interest
3 sources at intake
TJC-2026-109
AIJUDGMENT ISSUED

Did Helvex Labs offer its Atlas-2 model to the public under published pricing before August 1, 2026?

Public offering made · vs · Access remained invitation-only

Origin
Fairlead Markets
Exposure
$2.1M open interest
NO94% · August 6
TJC-2026-077
MarketsJUDGMENT ISSUED

Did the Meria payment network's throughput fall below half of baseline for six continuous hours on July 2, 2026?

Qualifying failure occurred · vs · Service substantially held

Origin
Hollis Exchange
Exposure
$610K open interest
INDETERMINATE58% · July 8
TJC-2026-096
GeopoliticsJUDGMENT ISSUED

Did demonstrators occupy the Lysander Broadcasting compound continuously from June 2 through June 9, 2026?

Continuous occupation · vs · Intermittent presence

Origin
Verity Board
Exposure
$840K open interest
NO82% · June 12
TJC-2026-088
GeopoliticsJUDGMENT ISSUED

Did freight service resume on the Corvale Rail Corridor before March 10, 2026?

Service resumed · vs · Corridor remained severed

Origin
Signal Commons
Exposure
$3.2M open interest
YES79% · March 13

From loose question to standing doctrine

01

The rule precedes the outcome

Before anything is weighed, the matter gets a fixed standard: defined terms, a burden of proof, an evidence cutoff, and the closed set of possible verdicts. Whatever happens later, the rule was written first — and everyone can read it.

02

Evidence earns its place

Nothing enters the record by being loud. Each exhibit is offered, its provenance traced, its custody sealed, its weight assessed, and its admission ruled on. Declarations are claims. Telemetry that no party controls is fact.

03

Every opinion compounds

Judgments — dissents included — join a citable corpus. A construction adopted in one matter governs the next unless distinguished on the record. The Tribunal's memory is the product.

The panel

Adaeze OkaforPresiding Jurist
Voting
Petra LindqvistEvidence Jurist
Voting
Mei-Ling SunDomain Jurist
Voting
Rafael IbáñezJurist
Voting
Daniel AchterbergJurist
Voting
Research EngineNon-voting
Non-voting

The Research Engine gathers exhibits, drafts summaries, and retrieves authority — and holds no vote. AI advises. The panel decides.

For market operators

Hand us the market you can’t settle.
Get back a verdict you can.

One API call opens the matter. The verdict comes back signed and machine-readable — YES, NO, or INDETERMINATE — with the full public opinion standing behind it.